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The pair has taken off its previous swing high of 62.9050 which signal a fresh leg up. Above 62.9050 the gates are open for the equality target of 68.80 in its wave C/3 which coincides with the 78.6 percent retracement of the fall. However, we arent looking for such a huge target as currently the pullback is considered as corrective in nature and not a fresh impulse on the way up. So, our preferred count is wave C up, whereas, wave 3 is just an alternate. The 61.8 percent retracement of the fall comes to 65.15 levels which is a conservative target and above that 65.70. The recent 3 days rise is well supported by the uptrend line and the moves have been with the gaps which are the characteristics of wave C/3 up, hence the support is pegged at 61.6150 levels which is also the stop loss for the long trades. There is a minor hurdle at 63.50 which in chart is shown by the dotted lines; once it takes off that level it will gain further momentum.
Now, looking at the other parameters, Bollinger bands have expanded on the daily charts after narrowing during the formation of the pennant in its wave B/2. Also, the pair has recently taken a good support at its 200 DMA. The momentum indicator MACD is well in buy mode on the weekly charts, whereas, the daily MACD has recently provided a fresh buy signal after reversing on the upside from the zero reference line. These all evidence indicates that the pair has a higher probability of moving up from hereon.